What is the home price forecast for Del Rio Northwest area?

Homecastr forecasts Del Rio Northwest area median home values at $293,135 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.5%.

How confident is the Del Rio Northwest area forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $261,841 (downside) to $424,789 (upside), with a spread of 51% of median.

Del Rio Northwest area Home Price Forecast

Val Verde, TX · ZIP 78840 · Census Tract 48465950802 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$293K

Downside (P10)

$262K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$321K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$425K

+45% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +45%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Val Verde markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$237K	$209K	$224K	$280K	$280K	$293K	$304K	$307K	$321K
YoY Change		-11.7%	+6.9%	+25.0%	+0.0%	+4.9%	+3.6%	+1.0%	+4.6%
Downside (P10)							$247K	$259K	$262K
Upside (P90)							$371K	$398K	$425K

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.

1-Year Spread

$247K to $371K

40.7% of median

5-Year Spread

$262K to $425K

50.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.5% · Spread: 51%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Del Rio Northwest area	$284K	$321K	+13.1%
Del Rio	$272K	$305K	+12.1%
Del Rio	$353K	$382K	+8.5%
Del Rio	$226K	$236K	+4.7%
Del Rio	$208K	$230K	+10.8%
Del Rio	$198K	$219K	+10.7%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Del Rio Northwest area	$284K	$321K	+13.1%
Del Rio	$97K	$110K	+14.1%
Del Rio	$163K	$183K	+12.5%
Del Rio	$272K	$305K	+12.1%
Del Rio	$208K	$230K	+10.8%
Del Rio	$112K	$124K	+10.8%

Lower Risk Alternatives

Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	Spread
Del Rio Northwest area	$284K	$321K	$163K
Del Rio	$102K	$106K	$63K
Del Rio	$97K	$110K	$69K
Del Rio	$138K	$144K	$74K
Del Rio	$112K	$124K	$92K
Del Rio	$158K	$170K	$95K

Location

Del Rio Northwest area on map

Open Full Map ↗

Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).