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Van Zandt, TX · ZIP 75754 · Census Tract 48467950902 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$349K
Downside (P10)
$273K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$367K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$533K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $189K | $222K | $267K | $305K | $334K | $349K | $362K | $365K | $367K |
| YoY Change | +17.6% | +20.3% | +14.1% | +9.7% | +4.2% | +3.9% | +0.8% | +0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $287K | $281K | $273K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $427K | $478K | $533K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$287K to $427K
38.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$273K to $533K
70.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wheeler-Edom | $341K | $367K | +7.7% | |
| Cedar Creek Lake (Tract 951001) | $292K | $328K | +12.4% | |
| Wills Point | $258K | $290K | +12.1% | |
| Edgewood | $240K | $255K | +6.2% | |
| Cedar Creek Lake (Tract 951002) | $245K | $253K | +3.4% | |
| Canton | $343K | $344K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wheeler-Edom | $341K | $367K | +7.7% | |
| Canton | $232K | $268K | +15.6% | |
| Wills Point (Tract 950500) | $194K | $220K | +13.1% | |
| Cedar Creek Lake | $292K | $328K | +12.4% | |
| Wills Point (Tract 950400) | $258K | $290K | +12.1% | |
| Grand Saline | $121K | $129K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wheeler-Edom | $341K | $367K | $260K | |
| Van | $210K | $215K | $115K | |
| Wills Point | $194K | $220K | $113K | |
| Cedar Creek Lake | $245K | $253K | $112K | |
| Ben Wheeler-Edom | $235K | $245K | $97K | |
| Grand Saline | $121K | $129K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.