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Victoria, TX · ZIP 77905 · Census Tract 48469001402 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$278K
Downside (P10)
$250K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$293K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$411K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $192K | $185K | $243K | $255K | $268K | $278K | $284K | $293K | $293K | $277K |
| YoY Change | -3.4% | +31.3% | +4.7% | +5.0% | +3.9% | +2.3% | +3.2% | -0.2% | -5.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $242K | $249K | $250K | $245K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $337K | $376K | $411K | $315K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$242K to $337K
33.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$245K to $315K
25.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria West · Victoria · (Tract 14.2) | $270K | $293K | +8.2% | |
| Victoria (Tract 001608) | $241K | $273K | +13.5% | |
| Victoria (Tract 001607) | $278K | $313K | +12.7% | |
| Victoria (Tract 001501) | $247K | $271K | +9.8% | |
| Victoria (Tract 001504) | $258K | $277K | +7.2% | |
| Victoria (Tract 000700) | $237K | $247K | +4.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria West · Victoria · (Tract 14.2) | $270K | $293K | +8.2% | |
| Victoria West | $214K | $246K | +14.9% | |
| Victoria (Tract 000201) | $82K | $94K | +13.6% | |
| Victoria (Tract 001608) | $241K | $273K | +13.5% | |
| Victoria (Tract 001605) | $230K | $261K | +13.5% | |
| Victoria (Tract 001607) | $278K | $313K | +12.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria West · Victoria · (Tract 14.2) | $270K | $293K | $161K | |
| Victoria (Tract 000501) | $134K | $147K | $76K | |
| Victoria South | $170K | $186K | $73K | |
| Victoria (Tract 000301) | $65K | $71K | $54K | |
| Victoria (Tract 000201) | $82K | $94K | $48K | |
| Victoria (Tract 000302) | $62K | $66K | $41K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.