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Webb, TX · ZIP 78045 · Census Tract 48479001711 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$218K
Downside (P10)
$183K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$224K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$289K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $109K | $118K | $123K | $122K | $130K | $152K | $163K | $184K | $208K | $209K | $218K | $222K | $226K | $224K | $218K |
| YoY Change | +9.1% | +3.6% | -1.0% | +6.7% | +17.3% | +7.2% | +13.0% | +13.1% | +0.5% | +4.2% | +1.7% | +1.9% | -0.7% | -2.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $203K | $192K | $183K | $195K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $256K | $267K | $289K | $243K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$203K to $256K
23.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$195K to $243K
22.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laredo North-Webb · Laredo · (Tract 17.11) | $215K | $224K | +4.4% | |
| Laredo (Tract 001718) | $217K | $250K | +15.1% | |
| Laredo (Tract 001001) | $213K | $233K | +9.4% | |
| Laredo (Tract 001720) | $226K | $253K | +12.0% | |
| Laredo (Tract 001726) | $209K | $213K | +1.8% | |
| Laredo South-El Cenizo | $228K | $254K | +11.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laredo North-Webb · Laredo · (Tract 17.11) | $215K | $224K | +4.4% | |
| Laredo South-El Cenizo | $154K | $182K | +18.2% | |
| Laredo (Tract 001717) | $148K | $175K | +18.0% | |
| Laredo (Tract 001806) | $197K | $230K | +16.9% | |
| Laredo (Tract 001824) | $229K | $266K | +16.1% | |
| Laredo (Tract 001716) | $187K | $217K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laredo North-Webb · Laredo · (Tract 17.11) | $215K | $224K | $105K | |
| Laredo South-El Cenizo (Tract 001818) | $71K | $74K | $38K | |
| Laredo South-El Cenizo (Tract 001813) | $81K | $90K | $43K | |
| Laredo (Tract 000300) | $79K | $82K | $44K | |
| Laredo (Tract 001900) | $89K | $100K | $50K | |
| Laredo (Tract 001501) | $101K | $110K | $52K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.