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Webb, TX · ZIP 78040 · Census Tract 48479001202 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$101K
Downside (P10)
$86K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$105K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$149K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $73K | $77K | $79K | $72K | $72K | $89K | $86K | $96K | $104K | $96K | $101K | $102K | $106K | $105K |
| YoY Change | +6.3% | +2.3% | -8.6% | -0.4% | +23.6% | -3.1% | +10.8% | +8.8% | -7.2% | +5.1% | +0.8% | +4.0% | -1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $84K | $87K | $86K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $121K | $134K | $149K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$84K to $121K
36.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$86K to $149K
60.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laredo · 78040 · (Tract 12.2) | $98K | $105K | +6.2% | |
| Laredo (Tract 001402) | $101K | $113K | +12.0% | |
| Laredo (Tract 001501) | $101K | $110K | +8.9% | |
| Laredo (Tract 000904) | $106K | $110K | +4.4% | |
| Laredo (Tract 001821) | $94K | $100K | +6.3% | |
| Laredo (Tract 001201) | $108K | $109K | +0.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laredo · 78040 · (Tract 12.2) | $98K | $105K | +6.2% | |
| Laredo South-El Cenizo | $154K | $182K | +18.2% | |
| Laredo (Tract 001717) | $148K | $175K | +18.0% | |
| Laredo (Tract 001806) | $197K | $230K | +16.9% | |
| Laredo (Tract 001824) | $229K | $266K | +16.1% | |
| Laredo (Tract 001716) | $187K | $217K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laredo · 78040 · (Tract 12.2) | $98K | $105K | $63K | |
| Laredo South-El Cenizo (Tract 001818) | $71K | $74K | $38K | |
| Laredo South-El Cenizo (Tract 001813) | $81K | $90K | $43K | |
| Laredo (Tract 000300) | $79K | $82K | $44K | |
| Laredo (Tract 001900) | $89K | $100K | $50K | |
| Laredo (Tract 001501) | $101K | $110K | $52K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.