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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Wichita, TX · Census Tract 48485240007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$228K
Downside (P10)
$225K
-1% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$336K
+48% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$467K
+105% by 2030
Base case: +48% by 2030, with a forecast range from -1% to +105%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $228K | $274K | $286K | $295K | $336K |
| YoY Change | +20.4% | +4.4% | +3.1% | +13.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $228K | $220K | $215K | $225K | |
| Upside (P90) | $357K | $382K | $410K | $467K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$228K to $357K
46.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$225K to $467K
72.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240007 | $228K | $336K | +47.5% | |
| Wichita (Tract 560004) | $229K | $344K | +50.4% | |
| Wichita (Tract 120004) | $225K | $333K | +47.8% | |
| Wichita (Tract 440001) | $224K | $330K | +47.3% | |
| Wichita (Tract 920000) | $230K | $331K | +44.2% | |
| Wichita (Tract 080005) | $225K | $318K | +40.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240007 | $228K | $336K | +47.5% | |
| Wichita (Tract 880001) | $218K | $332K | +51.9% | |
| Wichita (Tract 560004) | $229K | $344K | +50.4% | |
| Wichita (Tract 120004) | $225K | $333K | +47.8% | |
| Wichita (Tract 440001) | $224K | $330K | +47.3% | |
| Wichita (Tract 920000) | $230K | $331K | +44.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240007 | $228K | $336K | $242K | |
| Wichita (Tract 920000) | $230K | $331K | $282K | |
| Wichita (Tract 440001) | $224K | $330K | $270K | |
| Wichita (Tract 120004) | $225K | $333K | $262K | |
| Wichita (Tract 880001) | $218K | $332K | $258K | |
| Wichita (Tract 080005) | $225K | $318K | $252K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources