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Wood, TX · ZIP 75783 · Census Tract 48499950500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$194K
Downside (P10)
$158K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$211K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$275K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $102K | $108K | $101K | $95K | $96K | $112K | $119K | $143K | $167K | $189K | $194K | $198K | $206K | $211K |
| YoY Change | +6.3% | -7.3% | -5.5% | +1.5% | +16.3% | +6.2% | +20.3% | +16.7% | +13.1% | +2.5% | +2.3% | +4.2% | +2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $170K | $169K | $158K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $234K | $247K | $275K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$170K to $234K
32.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$158K to $275K
55.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quitman · 75783 · (Tract 9505) | $191K | $211K | +10.4% | |
| Alba | $179K | $212K | +18.3% | |
| Winnsboro (Tract 950100) | $202K | $227K | +12.5% | |
| Hawkins | $175K | $196K | +12.3% | |
| Winnsboro (Tract 950200) | $205K | $216K | +5.2% | |
| Quitman | $169K | $173K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quitman · 75783 · (Tract 9505) | $191K | $211K | +10.4% | |
| Alba (Tract 950402) | $179K | $212K | +18.3% | |
| Winnsboro | $202K | $227K | +12.5% | |
| Hawkins (Tract 950601) | $175K | $196K | +12.3% | |
| Alba (Tract 950401) | $242K | $261K | +8.2% | |
| Hawkins (Tract 950602) | $235K | $252K | +7.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quitman · 75783 · (Tract 9505) | $191K | $211K | $117K | |
| Quitman (Tract 950303) | $161K | $167K | $120K | |
| Alba | $179K | $212K | $117K | |
| Hawkins | $175K | $196K | $113K | |
| Quitman (Tract 950304) | $169K | $173K | $103K | |
| Winnsboro | $202K | $227K | $95K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.