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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Young, TX · Census Tract 48503000145 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$413K
Downside (P10)
$456K
+10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$701K
+70% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.03M
+150% by 2030
Base case: +70% by 2030, with a forecast range from +10% to +150%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $413K | $503K | $549K | $616K | $701K |
| YoY Change | +21.9% | +9.1% | +12.1% | +13.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $396K | $415K | $419K | $456K | |
| Upside (P90) | $629K | $763K | $902K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$396K to $629K
46.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$456K to $1.03M
82.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham area | $413K | $701K | +69.7% | |
| Graham area (Tract 001160) | $414K | $588K | +42.1% | |
| Graham area (Tract 002923) | $413K | $581K | +40.8% | |
| Graham area (Tract 002981) | $412K | $570K | +38.3% | |
| Graham area (Tract 000983) | $411K | $549K | +33.8% | |
| Graham area (Tract 003184) | $414K | $533K | +28.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham area | $413K | $701K | +69.7% | |
| Graham area (Tract 000129) | $405K | $716K | +76.8% | |
| Graham area (Tract 000404) | $418K | $726K | +73.8% | |
| Graham area (Tract 000365) | $401K | $692K | +72.6% | |
| Graham area (Tract 000349) | $417K | $714K | +71.4% | |
| Graham area (Tract 000022) | $431K | $718K | +66.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham area | $413K | $701K | $577K | |
| Graham area (Tract 001940) | $417K | $577K | $498K | |
| Graham area (Tract 002444) | $405K | $536K | $494K | |
| Graham area (Tract 003184) | $414K | $533K | $490K | |
| Graham area (Tract 000983) | $411K | $549K | $470K | |
| Graham area (Tract 000446) | $388K | $573K | $430K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources