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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Zapata, TX · Census Tract 48505000680 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.36M
Downside (P10)
$496K
-63% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.02M
-25% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.59M
+17% by 2030
Base case: -25% by 2030, with a forecast range from -63% to +17%. The model forecasts this with 41% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.0M | $1.0M |
| YoY Change | -2.7% | -11.8% | -11.9% | -0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $745K | $617K | $525K | $496K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.8M | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.6M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$745K to $1.76M
77.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$496K to $1.59M
106.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zapata area | $1.36M | $1.02M | -24.7% | |
| Zapata area (Tract 000347) | $1.13M | $931K | -17.8% | |
| Zapata area (Tract 000185) | $1.40M | $999K | -28.7% | |
| Zapata area (Tract 000509) | $1.39M | $965K | -30.4% | |
| Zapata area (Tract 000062) | $1.42M | $979K | -31.1% | |
| Zapata area (Tract 000567) | $1.31M | $817K | -37.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zapata area | $1.36M | $1.02M | -24.7% | |
| Zapata area (Tract 000347) | $1.13M | $931K | -17.8% | |
| Zapata area (Tract 000800) | $1.11M | $885K | -20.6% | |
| Zapata area (Tract 000185) | $1.40M | $999K | -28.7% | |
| Zapata area (Tract 000509) | $1.39M | $965K | -30.4% | |
| Zapata area (Tract 000062) | $1.42M | $979K | -31.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zapata area | $1.36M | $1.02M | $1.09M | |
| Zapata area (Tract 000567) | $1.31M | $817K | $1.04M | |
| Zapata area (Tract 000509) | $1.39M | $965K | $1.02M | |
| Zapata area (Tract 000062) | $1.42M | $979K | $1.01M | |
| Zapata area (Tract 000347) | $1.13M | $931K | $1.01M | |
| Zapata area (Tract 000800) | $1.11M | $885K | $998K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources