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Cache, UT · ZIP 84321 · Census Tract 49005001202 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$458K
Downside (P10)
$382K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$510K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$740K
+61% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +61%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $213K | $212K | $218K | $230K | $257K | $268K | $293K | $368K | $394K | $456K | $458K | $479K | $482K | $510K |
| YoY Change | -0.1% | +2.7% | +5.6% | +11.4% | +4.4% | +9.3% | +25.7% | +7.1% | +15.6% | +0.6% | +4.6% | +0.5% | +5.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $381K | $376K | $382K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $584K | $663K | $740K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$381K to $584K
42.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$382K to $740K
70.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan | $461K | $510K | +10.6% | |
| Logan (Tract 000403) | $456K | $493K | +8.0% | |
| Smithfield | $461K | $526K | +14.0% | |
| Logan (Tract 001101) | $462K | $494K | +6.9% | |
| Hyrum | $435K | $448K | +2.8% | |
| North Logan | $429K | $476K | +10.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan | $461K | $510K | +10.6% | |
| East Cache | $596K | $733K | +23.0% | |
| Smithfield (Tract 000201) | $414K | $488K | +17.8% | |
| Hyrum | $418K | $487K | +16.4% | |
| Logan | $378K | $437K | +15.7% | |
| Smithfield (Tract 000202) | $461K | $526K | +14.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan | $461K | $510K | $359K | |
| Lewiston (Tract 000101) | $392K | $409K | $134K | |
| Logan (Tract 001002) | $327K | $353K | $176K | |
| Lewiston (Tract 000102) | $379K | $401K | $185K | |
| Logan (Tract 000403) | $456K | $493K | $199K | |
| Logan (Tract 001001) | $364K | $394K | $212K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.