County 49084, UT · Census Tract 49084001769 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.96M
Downside (P10)
$1.27M
-35% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.67M
-15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.00M
+2% by 2030
Base case: -15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -35% to +2%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 49084 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.0M | $2.0M | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.7M |
| YoY Change | +0.0% | -11.4% | -6.5% | +2.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.7M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.2M | $2.1M | $1.9M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.77M to $2.16M
19.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.27M to $2.00M
43.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001484 | $1.95M | $1.67M | -14.5% |
| Tract 002085 | $1.97M | $1.77M | -10.4% |
| Tract 001921 | $1.99M | $1.65M | -16.9% |
| Tract 002564 | $1.93M | $1.69M | -12.4% |
| Tract 002522 | $1.99M | $1.74M | -12.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002807 | $1.27M | $1.37M | +7.9% |
| Tract 003424 | $1.20M | $1.28M | +7.1% |
| Tract 004083 | $1.25M | $1.32M | +5.9% |
| Tract 003660 | $1.17M | $1.24M | +5.7% |
| Tract 003602 | $1.23M | $1.29M | +4.7% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources