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County 49130, UT · Census Tract 49130160004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$398K
Downside (P10)
$325K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$517K
+30% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$825K
+107% by 2030
Base case: +30% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +107%. The model forecasts this with 47% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $398K | $431K | $439K | $464K | $517K |
| YoY Change | +8.4% | +1.8% | +5.7% | +11.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $344K | $314K | $311K | $325K | |
| Upside (P90) | $579K | $634K | $666K | $825K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$344K to $579K
54.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$325K to $825K
96.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160004 | $398K | $517K | +30.1% | |
| Tract 440009 | $357K | $473K | +32.3% | |
| Tract 600001 | $360K | $470K | +30.6% | |
| Tract 880009 | $358K | $466K | +30.2% | |
| Tract 040001 | $366K | $476K | +29.8% | |
| Tract 080003 | $349K | $418K | +19.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160004 | $398K | $517K | +30.1% | |
| Tract 440009 | $357K | $473K | +32.3% | |
| Tract 600001 | $360K | $470K | +30.6% | |
| Tract 880009 | $358K | $466K | +30.2% | |
| Tract 040001 | $366K | $476K | +29.8% | |
| Tract 080003 | $349K | $418K | +19.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160004 | $398K | $517K | $499K | |
| Tract 440009 | $357K | $473K | $488K | |
| Tract 040001 | $366K | $476K | $461K | |
| Tract 880009 | $358K | $466K | $416K | |
| Tract 600001 | $360K | $470K | $416K | |
| Tract 080003 | $349K | $418K | $409K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources