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County 49132, UT · Census Tract 49132400005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$333K
Downside (P10)
$293K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$441K
+33% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$674K
+102% by 2030
Base case: +33% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +102%. The model forecasts this with 53% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $333K | $364K | $374K | $404K | $441K |
| YoY Change | +9.2% | +2.9% | +8.1% | +9.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $279K | $266K | $280K | $293K | |
| Upside (P90) | $473K | $536K | $612K | $674K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$279K to $473K
53.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$293K to $674K
86.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400005 | $333K | $441K | +32.6% | |
| Tract 000007 | $331K | $483K | +46.1% | |
| Tract 200001 | $340K | $447K | +31.3% | |
| Tract 240003 | $351K | $453K | +29.0% | |
| Tract 760004 | $338K | $432K | +27.8% | |
| Tract 840005 | $338K | $432K | +27.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400005 | $333K | $441K | +32.6% | |
| Tract 000007 | $331K | $483K | +46.1% | |
| Tract 200001 | $340K | $447K | +31.3% | |
| Tract 920006 | $383K | $496K | +29.3% | |
| Tract 240003 | $351K | $453K | +29.0% | |
| Tract 760004 | $338K | $432K | +27.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400005 | $333K | $441K | $381K | |
| Tract 920006 | $383K | $496K | $470K | |
| Tract 840005 | $338K | $432K | $403K | |
| Tract 000007 | $331K | $483K | $396K | |
| Tract 200001 | $340K | $447K | $390K | |
| Tract 760004 | $338K | $432K | $386K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources