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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 49455, UT · Census Tract 49455000959 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$3.81M
Downside (P10)
$1.71M
-55% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.54M
-33% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.15M
-17% by 2030
Base case: -33% by 2030, with a forecast range from -55% to -17%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $3.8M | $3.6M | $3.1M | $2.7M | $2.5M |
| YoY Change | -5.5% | -14.1% | -12.6% | -5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.6M | $2.1M | $1.9M | $1.7M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.2M | $3.7M | $3.2M | $3.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$2.56M to $4.19M
45.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.71M to $3.15M
56.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000959 | $3.81M | $2.54M | -33.2% | |
| Tract 802380 | $521K | $701K | +34.6% | |
| Tract 802225 | $527K | $664K | +25.9% | |
| Tract 001709 | $2.05M | $1.82M | -11.1% | |
| Tract 001767 | $1.95M | $1.46M | -24.8% | |
| Tract 001660 | $2.96M | $2.20M | -25.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000959 | $3.81M | $2.54M | -33.2% | |
| Tract 400481 | $232K | $338K | +45.8% | |
| Tract 801925 | $471K | $670K | +42.2% | |
| Tract 400407 | $228K | $321K | +40.6% | |
| Tract 400342 | $231K | $323K | +40.3% | |
| Tract 400229 | $231K | $321K | +38.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000959 | $3.81M | $2.54M | $1.44M | |
| Tract 400368 | $228K | $307K | $225K | |
| Tract 400449 | $228K | $312K | $225K | |
| Tract 400342 | $231K | $323K | $222K | |
| Tract 400229 | $231K | $321K | $221K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources