What is the home price forecast for Tract 097809?

Homecastr forecasts Tract 097809 median home values at $280,085 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 47.0%.

How confident is the Tract 097809 forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $306,055 (downside) to $549,386 (upside), with a spread of 59% of median.

Tract 097809 Home Price Forecast

County 49660, UT · Census Tract 49660097809 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$280K

Downside (P10)

$306K

+9% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$412K

+47% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$549K

+96% by 2030

Base case: +47% by 2030, with a forecast range from +9% to +96%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 49660 markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$280K	$318K	$340K	$371K	$412K
YoY Change		+13.6%	+6.7%	+9.2%	+11.0%
Downside (P10)		$268K	$275K	$291K	$306K
Upside (P90)		$380K	$435K	$498K	$549K

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.

1-Year Spread

$257K to $317K

21.5% of median

5-Year Spread

$306K to $549K

59.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +47.0% · Spread: 59%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 097540	$284K	$377K	+32.6%
Tract 097906	$287K	$475K	+65.5%
Tract 096428	$295K	$485K	+64.7%
Tract 097168	$296K	$455K	+53.9%
Tract 097142	$296K	$479K	+61.5%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 097906	$287K	$475K	+65.5%
Tract 096428	$295K	$485K	+64.7%
Tract 097142	$296K	$479K	+61.5%
Tract 096923	$311K	$502K	+61.3%
Tract 096622	$303K	$483K	+59.4%

Location

Tract 097809 on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).