County 49705, UT · Census Tract 49705003509 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$790K
Downside (P10)
$371K
-53% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$689K
-13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.23M
+56% by 2030
Base case: -13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -53% to +56%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 49705 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $790K | $811K | $749K | $688K | $689K |
| YoY Change | +2.6% | -7.6% | -8.1% | +0.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $505K | $390K | $359K | $371K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$578K to $1.07M
61.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$371K to $1.23M
124.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003855 | $807K | $596K | -26.1% |
| Tract 004003 | $813K | $674K | -17.1% |
| Tract 003952 | $764K | $658K | -13.9% |
| Tract 004207 | $758K | $697K | -8.1% |
| Tract 004100 | $824K | $739K | -10.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004207 | $758K | $697K | -8.1% |
| Tract 002351 | $969K | $883K | -8.9% |
| Tract 003059 | $930K | $838K | -9.9% |
| Tract 004100 | $824K | $739K | -10.4% |
| Tract 003907 | $752K | $651K | -13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003855 | $807K | $596K | $737K |
| Tract 004003 | $813K | $674K | $744K |
| Tract 003907 | $752K | $651K | $770K |
| Tract 003952 | $764K | $658K | $802K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources