County 49710, UT · Census Tract 49710000908 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$721K
Downside (P10)
$278K
-61% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$720K
-0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.41M
+96% by 2030
Base case: -0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -61% to +96%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 49710 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $721K | $781K | $710K | $689K | $720K |
| YoY Change | +8.4% | -9.2% | -3.0% | +4.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $466K | $365K | $299K | $278K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$554K to $964K
56.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$278K to $1.41M
157.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000869 | $721K | $668K | -7.4% |
| Tract 000568 | $711K | $691K | -2.8% |
| Tract 000788 | $674K | $655K | -2.8% |
| Tract 000225 | $671K | $699K | +4.2% |
| Tract 000704 | $669K | $714K | +6.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000704 | $669K | $714K | +6.7% |
| Tract 000225 | $671K | $699K | +4.2% |
| Tract 000267 | $633K | $659K | +4.1% |
| Tract 000681 | $662K | $685K | +3.5% |
| Tract 000364 | $654K | $662K | +1.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000788 | $674K | $655K | $756K |
| Tract 000225 | $671K | $699K | $848K |
| Tract 000681 | $662K | $685K | $871K |
| Tract 000267 | $633K | $659K | $907K |
| Tract 000568 | $711K | $691K | $950K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources