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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Davis, UT · ZIP 84041 · Census Tract 49011126002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$618K
Downside (P10)
$489K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$694K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$938K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $254K | $237K | $246K | $272K | $300K | $346K | $385K | $494K | $580K | $599K | $618K | $641K | $674K | $694K |
| YoY Change | -6.4% | +3.4% | +10.8% | +10.3% | +15.3% | +11.3% | +28.1% | +17.4% | +3.4% | +3.1% | +3.7% | +5.2% | +2.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $509K | $502K | $489K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $836K | $916K | $938K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$509K to $836K
50.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$489K to $938K
64.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Davis | $610K | $694K | +13.7% | |
| Farmington | $628K | $682K | +8.6% | |
| South Davis (Tract 126304) | $603K | $640K | +6.1% | |
| South Davis (Tract 126204) | $641K | $678K | +5.8% | |
| Bountiful (Tract 126802) | $620K | $646K | +4.3% | |
| Bountiful (Tract 126500) | $592K | $609K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Davis | $610K | $694K | +13.7% | |
| Sunset | $342K | $401K | +17.5% | |
| Bountiful | $588K | $685K | +16.4% | |
| South Davis | $574K | $668K | +16.4% | |
| North Davis | $449K | $517K | +15.2% | |
| Kaysville | $854K | $983K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Davis | $610K | $694K | $450K | |
| North Davis (Tract 125809) | $356K | $386K | $218K | |
| North Davis (Tract 125501) | $387K | $414K | $216K | |
| South Davis | $416K | $449K | $216K | |
| Clearfield | $429K | $459K | $208K | |
| Sunset | $342K | $401K | $200K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.