What is the home price forecast for Parcel 49035113804 in Kearns · Salt Lake City · (Tract 1138.4)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $409,488 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 49035113804 in Kearns · Salt Lake City · (Tract 1138.4)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $409,488 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.4%.

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Parcel 49035113804 (Kearns) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 49035113804, Kearns · Salt Lake City · (Tract 1138.4) Home Price Forecast

Salt Lake, UT · ZIP 84118 · Census Tract 49035113804 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$409K

Downside (P10)

$349K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$456K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$600K

+47% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$264K	$279K	$332K	$369K	$405K	$409K	$416K	$431K	$456K	$423K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$145,688	-$130,288	-$77,188	-$40,288	-$4,088		+$6,242	+$21,361	+$46,585	+$13,538
Growth % vs 2026	-35.6%	-31.8%	-18.8%	-9.8%	-1.0%		+1.5%	+5.2%	+11.4%	+3.3%
Downside (P10)							$351K	$349K	$349K	$378K
Upside (P90)							$535K	$580K	$600K	$471K

Forecast Confidence

88%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$351K to $535K

44.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$378K to $471K

22.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.3% · Spread: 22%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 49035113804, Kearns · Salt Lake City · (Tract 1138.4) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).