What is the home price forecast for Parcel 49035113805 in Kearns · Salt Lake City · (Tract 1138.5)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $410,680 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 49035113805 in Kearns · Salt Lake City · (Tract 1138.5)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $410,680 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.1%.

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Parcel 49035113805 (Kearns) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 49035113805, Kearns · Salt Lake City · (Tract 1138.5) Home Price Forecast

Salt Lake, UT · ZIP 84118 · Census Tract 49035113805 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$411K

Downside (P10)

$373K

-9% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$432K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$594K

+45% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$217K	$241K	$310K	$339K	$384K	$411K	$416K	$430K	$432K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$194,180	-$169,880	-$100,480	-$72,180	-$26,980		+$5,236	+$19,677	+$21,073
Growth % vs 2026	-47.3%	-41.4%	-24.5%	-17.6%	-6.6%		+1.3%	+4.8%	+5.1%
Downside (P10)							$344K	$357K	$373K
Upside (P90)							$516K	$574K	$594K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$344K to $516K

41.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$373K to $594K

51.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.1% · Spread: 51%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 49035113805, Kearns · Salt Lake City · (Tract 1138.5) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).