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Weber, UT · ZIP 84405 · Census Tract 49057210512 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$384K
Downside (P10)
$352K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$430K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$574K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $143K | $149K | $163K | $168K | $186K | $210K | $243K | $303K | $355K | $370K | $384K | $396K | $405K | $430K |
| YoY Change | +4.1% | +9.3% | +3.4% | +10.7% | +12.5% | +16.0% | +24.7% | +17.0% | +4.1% | +3.8% | +3.2% | +2.2% | +6.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $359K | $358K | $352K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $477K | $561K | $574K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$359K to $477K
29.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$352K to $574K
51.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverdale | $384K | $430K | +12.1% | |
| Washington Terrace | $393K | $444K | +12.9% | |
| Ogden (Tract 200600) | $386K | $423K | +9.6% | |
| Ogden (Tract 200700) | $376K | $411K | +9.5% | |
| Ogden (Tract 210305) | $375K | $398K | +6.1% | |
| Roy | $378K | $392K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverdale | $384K | $430K | +12.1% | |
| Ogden Valley | $845K | $988K | +16.9% | |
| Ogden (Tract 210303) | $595K | $689K | +15.8% | |
| Roy | $364K | $420K | +15.6% | |
| Ogden (Tract 200500) | $317K | $366K | +15.5% | |
| Ogden (Tract 201900) | $248K | $284K | +14.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverdale | $384K | $430K | $222K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201302) | $333K | $356K | $141K | |
| Ogden (Tract 200500) | $317K | $366K | $138K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201900) | $248K | $284K | $133K | |
| Ogden (Tract 200302) | $231K | $249K | $132K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201800) | $294K | $328K | $126K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.