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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 51080, VA · Census Tract 51080006400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$416K
Downside (P10)
$289K
-31% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$500K
+20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$903K
+117% by 2030
Base case: +20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -31% to +117%. The model forecasts this with 32% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $416K | $453K | $446K | $476K | $500K |
| YoY Change | +8.9% | -1.5% | +6.6% | +5.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $342K | $291K | $285K | $289K | |
| Upside (P90) | $649K | $689K | $748K | $903K |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$342K to $649K
67.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$289K to $903K
122.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006400 | $416K | $500K | +20.1% | |
| Tract 007085 | $417K | $549K | +31.7% | |
| Tract 009724 | $415K | $537K | +29.3% | |
| Tract 007302 | $416K | $535K | +28.5% | |
| Tract 006264 | $418K | $519K | +24.3% | |
| Tract 009326 | $415K | $487K | +17.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006400 | $416K | $500K | +20.1% | |
| Tract 000985 | $330K | $518K | +57.0% | |
| Tract 014803 | $312K | $486K | +55.6% | |
| Tract 003720 | $309K | $477K | +54.1% | |
| Tract 018249 | $324K | $490K | +51.2% | |
| Tract 000626 | $298K | $449K | +50.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006400 | $416K | $500K | $614K | |
| Tract 018223 | $286K | $401K | $322K | |
| Tract 015446 | $326K | $410K | $318K | |
| Tract 002381 | $312K | $420K | $296K | |
| Tract 018207 | $292K | $412K | $293K | |
| Tract 003649 | $299K | $401K | $273K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources