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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 51950, VA · Census Tract 51950001849 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$735K
Downside (P10)
$562K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$872K
+19% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.36M
+84% by 2030
Base case: +19% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +84%. The model forecasts this with 50% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $735K | $821K | $860K | $860K | $872K |
| YoY Change | +11.7% | +4.8% | -0.0% | +1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $644K | $612K | $574K | $562K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$644K to $1.04M
47.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$562K to $1.36M
91.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001849 | $735K | $872K | +18.6% | |
| Tract 001027 | $730K | $1.06M | +45.3% | |
| Tract 001205 | $736K | $989K | +34.3% | |
| Tract 002068 | $728K | $915K | +25.7% | |
| Tract 001522 | $726K | $865K | +19.2% | |
| Tract 002149 | $727K | $859K | +18.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001849 | $735K | $872K | +18.6% | |
| Tract 000963 | $685K | $996K | +45.4% | |
| Tract 001027 | $730K | $1.06M | +45.3% | |
| Tract 000921 | $513K | $738K | +44.0% | |
| Tract 000581 | $524K | $753K | +43.8% | |
| Tract 000947 | $679K | $969K | +42.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001849 | $735K | $872K | $794K | |
| Tract 001221 | $543K | $764K | $630K | |
| Tract 001645 | $551K | $749K | $611K | |
| Tract 001807 | $538K | $699K | $513K | |
| Tract 002181 | $515K | $645K | $504K | |
| Tract 000523 | $506K | $682K | $489K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources