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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Isle of Wight, VA · ZIP 23430 · Census Tract 51093280105 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$370K
Downside (P10)
$332K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$400K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$509K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $188K | $179K | $169K | $200K | $224K | $234K | $241K | $267K | $307K | $369K | $370K | $376K | $392K | $400K |
| YoY Change | -4.8% | -5.4% | +18.3% | +12.0% | +4.6% | +3.0% | +10.7% | +15.0% | +20.0% | +0.3% | +1.7% | +4.5% | +1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $346K | $340K | $332K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $445K | $490K | $509K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$346K to $445K
26.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$332K to $509K
44.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smithfield area | $369K | $400K | +8.2% | |
| Newport | $410K | $476K | +15.9% | |
| Windsor (Tract 280106) | $389K | $419K | +7.7% | |
| Hardy | $352K | $379K | +7.7% | |
| Windsor (Tract 280300) | $329K | $340K | +3.5% | |
| Smithfield | $398K | $400K | +0.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smithfield area | $369K | $400K | +8.2% | |
| Newport (Tract 280107) | $410K | $476K | +15.9% | |
| Newport (Tract 280108) | $450K | $498K | +10.7% | |
| Windsor (Tract 280106) | $389K | $419K | +7.7% | |
| Hardy | $352K | $379K | +7.7% | |
| Windsor (Tract 280300) | $329K | $340K | +3.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smithfield area | $369K | $400K | $177K | |
| Smithfield | $398K | $400K | $234K | |
| Hardy | $352K | $379K | $216K | |
| Hardy area | $322K | $329K | $214K | |
| Windsor | $329K | $340K | $185K | |
| Carrsville | $257K | $263K | $149K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.