What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51121021501 in D-01?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $249,171 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51121021501 in D-01?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $249,171 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.1%.

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Parcel 51121021501 (D-01) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51121021501, D-01 Home Price Forecast

Montgomery, VA · ZIP 24073 · Census Tract 51121021501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$249K

Downside (P10)

$203K

-19% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$259K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$329K

+32% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$154K	$181K	$202K	$219K	$240K	$249K	$255K	$262K	$259K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$94,871	-$68,071	-$47,271	-$30,071	-$9,171		+$5,338	+$12,743	+$10,269
Growth % vs 2026	-38.1%	-27.3%	-19.0%	-12.1%	-3.7%		+2.1%	+5.1%	+4.1%
Downside (P10)							$218K	$218K	$203K
Upside (P90)							$295K	$312K	$329K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$218K to $295K

30.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$203K to $329K

48.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.1% · Spread: 48%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 51121021501, D-01 on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).