What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51125950102 in East?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $286,629 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 17.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51125950102 in East?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $286,629 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 17.3%.

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Parcel 51125950102 (East) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51125950102, East Home Price Forecast

Nelson, VA · ZIP 22971 · Census Tract 51125950102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$287K

Downside (P10)

$240K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$336K

+17% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$437K

+52% by 2030

Base case: +17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$199K	$262K	$276K	$245K	$288K	$287K	$294K	$324K	$336K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$88,129	-$24,629	-$10,329	-$41,729	+$1,071		+$7,812	+$37,416	+$49,661
Growth % vs 2026	-30.7%	-8.6%	-3.6%	-14.6%	+0.4%		+2.7%	+13.1%	+17.3%
Downside (P10)							$251K	$247K	$240K
Upside (P90)							$360K	$412K	$437K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$251K to $360K

37.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$240K to $437K

58.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +17.3% · Spread: 59%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 51125950102, East on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).