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Newport News, VA · ZIP 23602 · Census Tract 51700032114 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$346K
Downside (P10)
$291K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$375K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$482K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $250K | $253K | $251K | $242K | $238K | $250K | $252K | $292K | $317K | $335K | $346K | $356K | $368K | $375K |
| YoY Change | +1.1% | -0.8% | -3.5% | -1.7% | +5.1% | +0.9% | +15.9% | +8.5% | +5.7% | +3.3% | +2.9% | +3.4% | +2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $279K | $299K | $291K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $409K | $448K | $482K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$279K to $409K
36.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$291K to $482K
51.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport News · 23602 · (Tract 321.14) | $345K | $375K | +8.7% | |
| Newport News (Tract 032134) | $360K | $406K | +12.7% | |
| Newport News (Tract 031901) | $372K | $401K | +7.9% | |
| Newport News (Tract 031500) | $317K | $333K | +5.1% | |
| Newport News (Tract 032002) | $330K | $337K | +2.2% | |
| Newport News (Tract 032130) | $332K | $333K | +0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport News · 23602 · (Tract 321.14) | $345K | $375K | +8.7% | |
| Newport News (Tract 032005) | $255K | $297K | +16.6% | |
| Newport News (Tract 032117) | $263K | $303K | +15.4% | |
| Newport News (Tract 032227) | $266K | $306K | +15.1% | |
| Newport News (Tract 032124) | $314K | $360K | +14.6% | |
| Newport News (Tract 031300) | $211K | $241K | +14.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport News · 23602 · (Tract 321.14) | $345K | $375K | $191K | |
| Newport News (Tract 032225) | $131K | $147K | $76K | |
| Newport News (Tract 030400) | $120K | $127K | $68K | |
| Newport News (Tract 032113) | $129K | $140K | $66K | |
| Newport News (Tract 030500) | $102K | $110K | $60K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.