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Newport News, VA · ZIP 23606 · Census Tract 51700032128 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$213K
Downside (P10)
$181K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$219K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$314K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $149K | $146K | $150K | $188K | $150K | $172K | $189K | $198K | $195K | $206K | $213K | $218K | $219K | $219K |
| YoY Change | -1.8% | +2.5% | +25.1% | -20.2% | +15.0% | +9.8% | +4.7% | -1.2% | +5.3% | +3.8% | +2.2% | +0.4% | +0.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $189K | $188K | $181K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $259K | $278K | $314K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$189K to $259K
32.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$181K to $314K
60.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport News | $209K | $219K | +5.1% | |
| Newport News (Tract 031300) | $211K | $241K | +14.1% | |
| Newport News (Tract 032212) | $199K | $216K | +8.2% | |
| Newport News (Tract 032006) | $221K | $238K | +8.0% | |
| Newport News (Tract 030900) | $209K | $223K | +6.7% | |
| Newport News (Tract 032226) | $205K | $209K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport News | $209K | $219K | +5.1% | |
| Newport News (Tract 032005) | $255K | $297K | +16.6% | |
| Newport News (Tract 032117) | $263K | $303K | +15.4% | |
| Newport News (Tract 032227) | $266K | $306K | +15.1% | |
| Newport News (Tract 032124) | $314K | $360K | +14.6% | |
| Newport News (Tract 031300) | $211K | $241K | +14.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport News | $209K | $219K | $133K | |
| Newport News (Tract 032225) | $131K | $147K | $76K | |
| Newport News (Tract 030400) | $120K | $127K | $68K | |
| Newport News (Tract 032113) | $129K | $140K | $66K | |
| Newport News (Tract 030500) | $102K | $110K | $60K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.