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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Portsmouth, VA · ZIP 23704 · Census Tract 51740210600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$269K
Downside (P10)
$222K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$287K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$362K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $178K | $179K | $172K | $164K | $160K | $172K | $200K | $222K | $240K | $266K | $269K | $278K | $290K | $287K |
| YoY Change | +0.7% | -3.9% | -4.8% | -2.0% | +7.0% | +16.5% | +11.2% | +8.1% | +10.7% | +1.3% | +3.0% | +4.4% | -1.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $216K | $224K | $222K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $318K | $339K | $362K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$216K to $318K
37.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$222K to $362K
48.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth · 23704 · (Tract 2106) | $268K | $287K | +7.2% | |
| Portsmouth (Tract 211800) | $262K | $292K | +11.7% | |
| Portsmouth (Tract 212600) | $272K | $301K | +10.8% | |
| Portsmouth (Tract 210400) | $283K | $311K | +9.8% | |
| Portsmouth (Tract 213101) | $286K | $313K | +9.5% | |
| Portsmouth (Tract 212802) | $271K | $288K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth · 23704 · (Tract 2106) | $268K | $287K | +7.2% | |
| Portsmouth (Tract 211900) | $168K | $198K | +18.0% | |
| Portsmouth (Tract 211100) | $240K | $275K | +14.6% | |
| Portsmouth (Tract 211400) | $241K | $273K | +13.3% | |
| Portsmouth (Tract 211800) | $262K | $292K | +11.7% | |
| Portsmouth (Tract 212600) | $272K | $301K | +10.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth · 23704 · (Tract 2106) | $268K | $287K | $140K | |
| Portsmouth (Tract 212300) | $220K | $238K | $104K | |
| Portsmouth (Tract 210500) | $167K | $176K | $100K | |
| Portsmouth (Tract 212500) | $194K | $206K | $96K | |
| Portsmouth (Tract 211500) | $176K | $189K | $96K | |
| Portsmouth (Tract 212702) | $198K | $208K | $89K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.