What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51163930102 in South River?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $224,622 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51163930102 in South River?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $224,622 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.1%.

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Parcel 51163930102 (South River) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51163930102, South River Home Price Forecast

Rockbridge, VA · ZIP 24483 · Census Tract 51163930102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$225K

Downside (P10)

$194K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$245K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$327K

+46% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$224K	$202K	$215K	$210K	$220K	$225K	$231K	$241K	$245K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$222	-$22,422	-$9,322	-$14,422	-$5,122		+$5,913	+$15,891	+$20,497
Growth % vs 2026	-0.1%	-10.0%	-4.1%	-6.4%	-2.3%		+2.6%	+7.1%	+9.1%
Downside (P10)							$193K	$202K	$194K
Upside (P90)							$285K	$305K	$327K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$193K to $285K

40.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$194K to $327K

54.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.1% · Spread: 54%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 51163930102, South River on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).