What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51197050202 in Black Lick?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $114,309 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51197050202 in Black Lick?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $114,309 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.8%.

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Parcel 51197050202 (Black Lick) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51197050202, Black Lick Home Price Forecast

Wythe, VA · ZIP 24382 · Census Tract 51197050202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$114K

Downside (P10)

$98K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$119K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$165K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$162K	$153K	$165K	$171K	$114K	$114K	$114K	$116K	$119K
Growth $ vs 2026	+$47,991	+$38,391	+$50,691	+$56,391	-$809		-$567	+$1,768	+$4,289
Growth % vs 2026	+42.0%	+33.6%	+44.3%	+49.3%	-0.7%		-0.5%	+1.5%	+3.8%
Downside (P10)							$100K	$98K	$98K
Upside (P90)							$132K	$147K	$165K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$100K to $132K

27.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$98K to $165K

56.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.8% · Spread: 57%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 51197050202, Black Lick on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).