County 50880, VT · Census Tract 50880002003 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$73K
Downside (P10)
$63K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$101K
+39% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$208K
+186% by 2030
Base case: +39% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +186%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 50880 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $73K | $91K | $90K | $94K | $101K |
| YoY Change | +25.7% | -1.5% | +4.5% | +7.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $67K | $61K | $59K | $63K | |
| Upside (P90) | $147K | $152K | $163K | $208K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$59K to $110K
70.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$63K to $208K
143.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003329 | $73K | $99K | +36.6% |
| Tract 003109 | $73K | $96K | +31.6% |
| Tract 001347 | $74K | $111K | +50.5% |
| Tract 000461 | $74K | $113K | +52.0% |
| Tract 000869 | $74K | $112K | +50.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000364 | $75K | $118K | +57.0% |
| Tract 001745 | $78K | $123K | +56.9% |
| Tract 002948 | $156K | $244K | +56.9% |
| Tract 000966 | $77K | $120K | +55.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources