County 53264, WA · Census Tract 53264300043 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.68M
Downside (P10)
$1.13M
-33% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.56M
-7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.07M
+23% by 2030
Base case: -7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -33% to +23%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 53264 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.6M |
| YoY Change | -0.3% | -5.6% | -2.2% | +0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.4M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.1M | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.1M | $1.9M | $2.0M | $2.1M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.52M to $1.89M
21.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.13M to $2.07M
59.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 300069 | $1.65M | $1.58M | -3.8% |
| Tract 300124 | $1.62M | $1.54M | -4.5% |
| Tract 302106 | $1.55M | $1.55M | -0.6% |
| Tract 300603 | $1.55M | $1.50M | -2.9% |
| Tract 302384 | $1.50M | $1.52M | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 702285 | $523K | $922K | +76.4% |
| Tract 701341 | $518K | $909K | +75.3% |
| Tract 701642 | $524K | $892K | +70.3% |
| Tract 701862 | $635K | $1.07M | +69.1% |
| Tract 702188 | $638K | $1.08M | +68.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 700245 | $611K | $742K | $629K |
| Tract 702285 | $523K | $922K | $630K |
| Tract 701642 | $524K | $892K | $637K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources