County 53269, WA · Census Tract 53269001460 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$553K
Downside (P10)
$273K
-51% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$546K
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$987K
+79% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -51% to +79%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 53269 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $553K | $568K | $566K | $536K | $546K |
| YoY Change | +2.8% | -0.4% | -5.3% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $350K | $280K | $247K | $273K | |
| Upside (P90) | $785K | $810K | $896K | $987K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$422K to $693K
48.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$273K to $987K
130.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001020 | $552K | $592K | +7.2% |
| Tract 003086 | $552K | $575K | +4.2% |
| Tract 003604 | $549K | $538K | -1.9% |
| Tract 000089 | $548K | $560K | +2.2% |
| Tract 003183 | $560K | $578K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003060 | $522K | $600K | +14.8% |
| Tract 003549 | $472K | $532K | +12.6% |
| Tract 001127 | $510K | $563K | +10.4% |
| Tract 005628 | $545K | $596K | +9.5% |
| Tract 001020 | $552K | $592K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003549 | $472K | $532K | $541K |
| Tract 005204 | $501K | $506K | $547K |
| Tract 001101 | $507K | $542K | $570K |
| Tract 003222 | $499K | $520K | $576K |
| Tract 000348 | $518K | $489K | $596K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources