County 53269, WA · Census Tract 53269005204 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$501K
Downside (P10)
$287K
-43% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$506K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$834K
+66% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -43% to +66%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 53269 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $501K | $511K | $489K | $494K | $506K |
| YoY Change | +2.0% | -4.3% | +0.8% | +2.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $360K | $304K | $269K | $287K | |
| Upside (P90) | $678K | $738K | $749K | $834K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$413K to $623K
42.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$287K to $834K
108.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003222 | $499K | $520K | +4.2% |
| Tract 001101 | $507K | $542K | +6.9% |
| Tract 001127 | $510K | $563K | +10.4% |
| Tract 000348 | $518K | $489K | -5.5% |
| Tract 000380 | $484K | $517K | +6.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003060 | $522K | $600K | +14.8% |
| Tract 003549 | $472K | $532K | +12.6% |
| Tract 001127 | $510K | $563K | +10.4% |
| Tract 005628 | $545K | $596K | +9.5% |
| Tract 001020 | $552K | $592K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003549 | $472K | $532K | $541K |
| Tract 001101 | $507K | $542K | $570K |
| Tract 003222 | $499K | $520K | $576K |
| Tract 000348 | $518K | $489K | $596K |
| Tract 005288 | $570K | $591K | $609K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources