What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53015000902 in Longview-Kelso · Longview · (Tract 9.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $427,396 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53015000902 in Longview-Kelso · Longview · (Tract 9.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $427,396 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.2%.

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Parcel 53015000902 (Longview-Kelso) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 53015000902, Longview-Kelso · Longview · (Tract 9.2) Home Price Forecast

Cowlitz, WA · ZIP 98632 · Census Tract 53015000902 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$427K

Downside (P10)

$374K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$475K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$637K

+49% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$224K	$262K	$295K	$379K	$412K	$427K	$439K	$468K	$475K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$203,896	-$165,096	-$132,096	-$48,196	-$14,996		+$11,701	+$40,776	+$47,851
Growth % vs 2026	-47.7%	-38.6%	-30.9%	-11.3%	-3.5%		+2.7%	+9.5%	+11.2%
Downside (P10)							$396K	$376K	$374K
Upside (P90)							$554K	$610K	$637K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$396K to $554K

36.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$374K to $637K

55.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.2% · Spread: 55%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 53015000902, Longview-Kelso · Longview · (Tract 9.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).