What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53015000801 in Longview-Kelso?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $464,177 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53015000801 in Longview-Kelso?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $464,177 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.3%.

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Parcel 53015000801 (Longview-Kelso) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 53015000801, Longview-Kelso Home Price Forecast

Cowlitz, WA · ZIP 98632 · Census Tract 53015000801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$464K

Downside (P10)

$417K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$480K

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$654K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$243K	$268K	$375K	$424K	$448K	$464K	$470K	$485K	$480K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$220,877	-$196,277	-$89,077	-$40,477	-$16,077		+$6,033	+$20,366	+$15,373
Growth % vs 2026	-47.6%	-42.3%	-19.2%	-8.7%	-3.5%		+1.3%	+4.4%	+3.3%
Downside (P10)							$415K	$405K	$417K
Upside (P90)							$566K	$620K	$654K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$415K to $566K

32.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$417K to $654K

49.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.3% · Spread: 50%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 53015000801, Longview-Kelso on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).