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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Cowlitz, WA · ZIP 98603 · Census Tract 53015001501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$511K
Downside (P10)
$454K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$534K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$718K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $243K | $247K | $253K | $277K | $275K | $290K | $323K | $400K | $455K | $484K | $511K | $517K | $530K | $534K |
| YoY Change | +1.7% | +2.4% | +9.6% | -0.7% | +5.5% | +11.3% | +23.9% | +13.6% | +6.4% | +5.6% | +1.2% | +2.4% | +0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $441K | $440K | $454K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $643K | $677K | $718K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$441K to $643K
39.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$454K to $718K
49.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woodland | $495K | $534K | +7.9% | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 001900) | $479K | $560K | +16.9% | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 002004) | $540K | $589K | +9.1% | |
| Longview-Kelso | $485K | $525K | +8.3% | |
| Woodland (Tract 001503) | $519K | $558K | +7.5% | |
| Woodland (Tract 001504) | $521K | $556K | +6.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woodland | $495K | $534K | +7.9% | |
| Castle Rock | $479K | $560K | +16.9% | |
| Longview-Kelso (Tract 000902) | $426K | $475K | +11.6% | |
| Longview-Kelso (Tract 000705) | $407K | $454K | +11.4% | |
| Rose Valley | $439K | $487K | +10.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woodland | $495K | $534K | $264K | |
| Longview-Kelso (Tract 000703) | $218K | $228K | $155K | |
| Longview | $295K | $323K | $145K | |
| Longview-Kelso (Tract 001300) | $295K | $303K | $144K | |
| Longview-Kelso (Tract 001100) | $286K | $312K | $136K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.