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Kitsap, WA · ZIP 98366 · Census Tract 53035092300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$432K
Downside (P10)
$377K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$461K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$589K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $193K | $202K | $199K | $211K | $237K | $264K | $288K | $337K | $380K | $428K | $432K | $440K | $454K | $461K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$238,960 | -$229,960 | -$233,660 | -$220,860 | -$194,760 | -$168,660 | -$143,960 | -$95,560 | -$52,660 | -$4,660 | +$7,865 | +$22,178 | +$28,471 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -55.3% | -53.2% | -54.1% | -51.1% | -45.1% | -39.0% | -33.3% | -22.1% | -12.2% | -1.1% | +1.8% | +5.1% | +6.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $365K | $373K | $377K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $546K | $568K | $589K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$365K to $546K
41.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$377K to $589K
46.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Orchard | $435K | $461K | +5.9% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 091600) | $447K | $523K | +16.8% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 080600) | $425K | $487K | +14.4% | |
| Parkwood | $449K | $498K | +11.1% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 091702) | $428K | $473K | +10.4% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 080200) | $451K | $486K | +7.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Orchard | $435K | $461K | +5.9% | |
| Silverdale | $534K | $637K | +19.4% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 081100) | $379K | $450K | +18.9% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 080102) | $384K | $454K | +18.4% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 091600) | $447K | $523K | +16.8% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 081000) | $364K | $421K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Orchard | $435K | $461K | $212K | |
| Port Orchard | $473K | $486K | $240K | |
| Silverdale | $567K | $609K | $234K | |
| Bremerton (Tract 080102) | $384K | $454K | $225K | |
| Bremerton (Tract 081000) | $364K | $421K | $224K | |
| Bremerton (Tract 091701) | $555K | $609K | $216K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Kitsap, WA · ZIP 98366 · Census Tract 53035092300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$432K
Downside (P10)
$377K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$461K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$589K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $193K | $202K | $199K | $211K | $237K | $264K | $288K | $337K | $380K | $428K | $432K | $440K | $454K | $461K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$238,960 | -$229,960 | -$233,660 | -$220,860 | -$194,760 | -$168,660 | -$143,960 | -$95,560 | -$52,660 | -$4,660 | +$7,865 | +$22,178 | +$28,471 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -55.3% | -53.2% | -54.1% | -51.1% | -45.1% | -39.0% | -33.3% | -22.1% | -12.2% | -1.1% | +1.8% | +5.1% | +6.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $365K | $373K | $377K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $546K | $568K | $589K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$365K to $546K
41.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$377K to $589K
46.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Orchard | $435K | $461K | +5.9% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 091600) | $447K | $523K | +16.8% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 080600) | $425K | $487K | +14.4% | |
| Parkwood | $449K | $498K | +11.1% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 091702) | $428K | $473K | +10.4% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 080200) | $451K | $486K | +7.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Orchard | $435K | $461K | +5.9% | |
| Silverdale | $534K | $637K | +19.4% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 081100) | $379K | $450K | +18.9% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 080102) | $384K | $454K | +18.4% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 091600) | $447K | $523K | +16.8% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 081000) | $364K | $421K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Orchard | $435K | $461K | $212K | |
| Port Orchard | $473K | $486K | $240K | |
| Silverdale | $567K | $609K | $234K | |
| Bremerton (Tract 080102) | $384K | $454K | $225K | |
| Bremerton (Tract 081000) | $364K | $421K | $224K | |
| Bremerton (Tract 091701) | $555K | $609K | $216K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
