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Kittitas, WA · ZIP 98926 · Census Tract 53037975500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$413K
Downside (P10)
$341K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$460K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$655K
+59% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +59%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $193K | $198K | $203K | $214K | $231K | $245K | $284K | $355K | $392K | $417K | $413K | $435K | $446K | $460K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$219,574 | -$214,974 | -$210,174 | -$198,974 | -$181,574 | -$167,874 | -$129,074 | -$57,874 | -$21,074 | +$4,626 | +$22,249 | +$33,401 | +$46,967 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -53.2% | -52.1% | -50.9% | -48.2% | -44.0% | -40.7% | -31.3% | -14.0% | -5.1% | +1.1% | +5.4% | +8.1% | +11.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $359K | $334K | $341K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $541K | $563K | $655K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$359K to $541K
41.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$341K to $655K
68.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellensburg | $419K | $460K | +9.7% | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975404) | $429K | $475K | +10.8% | |
| Cle Elum (Tract 975102) | $510K | $556K | +9.0% | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975402) | $386K | $419K | +8.6% | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975600) | $346K | $360K | +4.0% | |
| Cle Elum (Tract 975103) | $419K | $427K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellensburg | $419K | $460K | +9.7% | |
| Manastash Ridge (Tract 975202) | $646K | $743K | +14.9% | |
| Manastash Ridge (Tract 975201) | $726K | $830K | +14.3% | |
| Northeast Kittitas | $553K | $616K | +11.3% | |
| Ellensburg | $429K | $475K | +10.8% | |
| Cle Elum | $688K | $759K | +10.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellensburg | $419K | $460K | $315K | |
| Cle Elum (Tract 975102) | $510K | $556K | $315K | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975404) | $429K | $475K | $252K | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975600) | $346K | $360K | $241K | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975402) | $386K | $419K | $209K | |
| Cle Elum (Tract 975103) | $419K | $427K | $188K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Kittitas, WA · ZIP 98926 · Census Tract 53037975500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$413K
Downside (P10)
$341K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$460K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$655K
+59% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +59%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $193K | $198K | $203K | $214K | $231K | $245K | $284K | $355K | $392K | $417K | $413K | $435K | $446K | $460K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$219,574 | -$214,974 | -$210,174 | -$198,974 | -$181,574 | -$167,874 | -$129,074 | -$57,874 | -$21,074 | +$4,626 | +$22,249 | +$33,401 | +$46,967 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -53.2% | -52.1% | -50.9% | -48.2% | -44.0% | -40.7% | -31.3% | -14.0% | -5.1% | +1.1% | +5.4% | +8.1% | +11.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $359K | $334K | $341K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $541K | $563K | $655K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$359K to $541K
41.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$341K to $655K
68.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellensburg | $419K | $460K | +9.7% | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975404) | $429K | $475K | +10.8% | |
| Cle Elum (Tract 975102) | $510K | $556K | +9.0% | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975402) | $386K | $419K | +8.6% | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975600) | $346K | $360K | +4.0% | |
| Cle Elum (Tract 975103) | $419K | $427K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellensburg | $419K | $460K | +9.7% | |
| Manastash Ridge (Tract 975202) | $646K | $743K | +14.9% | |
| Manastash Ridge (Tract 975201) | $726K | $830K | +14.3% | |
| Northeast Kittitas | $553K | $616K | +11.3% | |
| Ellensburg | $429K | $475K | +10.8% | |
| Cle Elum | $688K | $759K | +10.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellensburg | $419K | $460K | $315K | |
| Cle Elum (Tract 975102) | $510K | $556K | $315K | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975404) | $429K | $475K | $252K | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975600) | $346K | $360K | $241K | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975402) | $386K | $419K | $209K | |
| Cle Elum (Tract 975103) | $419K | $427K | $188K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
