What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53041971501 in Winlock-Pe Ell?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $384,528 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53041971501 in Winlock-Pe Ell?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $384,528 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.5%.

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Parcel 53041971501 (Winlock-Pe Ell) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 53041971501, Winlock-Pe Ell Home Price Forecast

Lewis, WA · ZIP 98596 · Census Tract 53041971501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$385K

Downside (P10)

$315K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$417K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$536K

+39% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$209K	$218K	$281K	$323K	$373K	$385K	$389K	$391K	$417K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$175,628	-$167,028	-$103,928	-$61,228	-$11,728		+$4,257	+$6,519	+$32,685
Growth % vs 2026	-45.7%	-43.4%	-27.0%	-15.9%	-3.1%		+1.1%	+1.7%	+8.5%
Downside (P10)							$324K	$317K	$315K
Upside (P90)							$434K	$506K	$536K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$324K to $434K

28.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$315K to $536K

52.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.5% · Spread: 53%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 53041971501, Winlock-Pe Ell on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).