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Mason, WA · ZIP 98584 · Census Tract 53045960500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$530K
Downside (P10)
$458K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$552K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$773K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $261K | $247K | $230K | $246K | $249K | $291K | $327K | $416K | $475K | $522K | $530K | $547K | $543K | $552K |
| YoY Change | -5.4% | -6.7% | +6.9% | +1.0% | +17.3% | +12.1% | +27.3% | +14.2% | +9.9% | +1.5% | +3.2% | -0.7% | +1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $470K | $473K | $458K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $721K | $782K | $773K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$470K to $721K
46.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$458K to $773K
57.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union-Grapeview | $534K | $552K | +3.4% | |
| Timber Lake-Harstine Island | $525K | $560K | +6.6% | |
| West Mason (Tract 960100) | $507K | $565K | +11.3% | |
| Belfair-Tahuya | $503K | $511K | +1.6% | |
| Union-Grapeview | $492K | $548K | +11.4% | |
| West Mason (Tract 960202) | $486K | $496K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union-Grapeview | $534K | $552K | +3.4% | |
| Shelton (Tract 960800) | $383K | $437K | +14.0% | |
| Belfair-Tahuya | $346K | $391K | +13.0% | |
| Shelton (Tract 960600) | $372K | $416K | +11.7% | |
| Union-Grapeview | $492K | $548K | +11.4% | |
| West Mason | $507K | $565K | +11.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union-Grapeview | $534K | $552K | $315K | |
| Skokomish Reservation | $208K | $212K | $127K | |
| Shelton | $312K | $327K | $145K | |
| Timber Lake-Harstine Island | $334K | $348K | $146K | |
| West Mason | $329K | $355K | $167K | |
| Union-Grapeview | $415K | $432K | $189K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.