Pacific, WA · ZIP 98640 · Census Tract 53049950802 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$338K
Downside (P10)
$290K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$372K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$483K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +43%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Pacific markets.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $184K | $199K | $247K | $271K | $319K | $338K | $348K | $358K | $372K |
| YoY Change | +8.0% | +24.3% | +9.4% | +17.9% | +6.1% | +2.9% | +3.0% | +3.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $295K | $300K | $290K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $416K | $472K | $483K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$295K to $416K
34.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$290K to $483K
51.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula · Ocean Park · (Tract 9508.2) | $328K | $372K | +13.5% | |
| Raymond | $344K | $402K | +16.8% | |
| Naselle area | $327K | $322K | -1.6% | |
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula | $356K | $383K | +7.5% | |
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula | $359K | $401K | +11.7% | |
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula | $360K | $410K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula · Ocean Park · (Tract 9508.2) | $328K | $372K | +13.5% | |
| Raymond | $269K | $314K | +16.8% | |
| Raymond | $344K | $402K | +16.8% | |
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula | $360K | $410K | +13.9% | |
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula | $454K | $516K | +13.7% | |
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula | $359K | $401K | +11.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula · Ocean Park · (Tract 9508.2) | $328K | $372K | $193K | |
| Raymond | $279K | $284K | $145K | |
| Naselle area | $327K | $322K | $151K | |
| Raymond | $269K | $314K | $166K | |
| Long Beach | $369K | $401K | $183K | |
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula | $359K | $401K | $201K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.