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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pierce, WA · Census Tract 53053160009 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$629K
Downside (P10)
$358K
-43% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$650K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.19M
+89% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -43% to +89%. The model forecasts this with 30% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $629K | $668K | $634K | $629K | $650K |
| YoY Change | +6.1% | -5.0% | -0.9% | +3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $449K | $356K | $333K | $358K | |
| Upside (P90) | $978K | $1.0M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$449K to $978K
79.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$358K to $1.19M
128.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160009 | $629K | $650K | +3.3% | |
| Pierce (Tract 960005) | $626K | $672K | +7.3% | |
| Pierce (Tract 600006) | $627K | $652K | +3.9% | |
| Pierce (Tract 800000) | $622K | $618K | -0.6% | |
| Pierce (Tract 520005) | $677K | $671K | -0.9% | |
| Pierce (Tract 920003) | $660K | $648K | -1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160009 | $629K | $650K | +3.3% | |
| Pierce (Tract 840002) | $688K | $780K | +13.3% | |
| Pierce (Tract 960005) | $626K | $672K | +7.3% | |
| Pierce (Tract 600006) | $627K | $652K | +3.9% | |
| Pierce (Tract 800000) | $622K | $618K | -0.6% | |
| Pierce (Tract 520005) | $677K | $671K | -0.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160009 | $629K | $650K | $832K | |
| Pierce (Tract 520005) | $677K | $671K | $947K | |
| Pierce (Tract 800000) | $622K | $618K | $920K | |
| Pierce (Tract 840002) | $688K | $780K | $845K | |
| Pierce (Tract 920003) | $660K | $648K | $842K | |
| Pierce (Tract 600006) | $627K | $652K | $835K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources