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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pierce, WA · ZIP 98466 · Census Tract 53053072311 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$656K
Downside (P10)
$573K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$733K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$961K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $261K | $272K | $290K | $324K | $338K | $400K | $447K | $536K | $589K | $648K | $656K | $693K | $710K | $733K | $673K |
| YoY Change | +4.1% | +6.7% | +11.9% | +4.1% | +18.6% | +11.6% | +20.0% | +9.9% | +10.0% | +1.2% | +5.6% | +2.5% | +3.2% | -8.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $612K | $597K | $573K | $606K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $852K | $897K | $961K | $759K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$612K to $852K
34.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$606K to $759K
22.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| University Place | $655K | $733K | +11.8% | |
| Puyallup (Tract 071210) | $656K | $735K | +12.0% | |
| Tacoma | $663K | $737K | +11.2% | |
| Gig Harbor Peninsula | $655K | $715K | +9.1% | |
| Puyallup (Tract 070309) | $646K | $704K | +9.0% | |
| South Hill | $662K | $706K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| University Place | $655K | $733K | +11.8% | |
| Tacoma (Tract 060700) | $698K | $846K | +21.2% | |
| Tacoma (Tract 072309) | $712K | $859K | +20.7% | |
| Parkland | $481K | $580K | +20.5% | |
| Fircrest | $594K | $716K | +20.5% | |
| Puyallup | $527K | $633K | +20.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| University Place | $655K | $733K | $388K | |
| Tacoma (Tract 063200) | $414K | $457K | $191K | |
| Tacoma (Tract 062300) | $397K | $440K | $184K | |
| Tacoma (Tract 071703) | $281K | $301K | $175K | |
| Tacoma (Tract 063000) | $378K | $436K | $170K | |
| Parkland | $382K | $401K | $167K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.