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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Seattle, WA · ZIP 98108 · Census Tract 53033010001 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$811K
Downside (P10)
$697K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$809K
-0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.13M
+40% by 2030
Base case: -0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $367K | $383K | $426K | $484K | $533K | $568K | $623K | $799K | $834K | $825K | $811K | $813K | $832K | $809K |
| YoY Change | +4.2% | +11.2% | +13.8% | +10.1% | +6.6% | +9.7% | +28.2% | +4.5% | -1.2% | -1.6% | +0.2% | +2.3% | -2.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $702K | $673K | $697K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$702K to $1.03M
40.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$697K to $1.13M
54.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgetown · 98108 · (Tract 100.1) | $830K | $809K | -2.6% | |
| Lake City | $809K | $951K | +17.5% | |
| Shoreline (Tract 021000) | $809K | $900K | +11.2% | |
| Shoreline (Tract 000602) | $814K | $896K | +10.1% | |
| Columbia City | $810K | $885K | +9.4% | |
| Enumclaw Plateau | $809K | $875K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgetown · 98108 · (Tract 100.1) | $830K | $809K | -2.6% | |
| Downtown Seattle | $908K | $1.11M | +22.2% | |
| University District | $1.20M | $1.46M | +22.0% | |
| Redmond | $1.05M | $1.28M | +21.5% | |
| Renton | $549K | $658K | +19.8% | |
| Kirkland | $1.13M | $1.35M | +19.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgetown · 98108 · (Tract 100.1) | $830K | $809K | $437K | |
| SeaTac | $314K | $366K | $191K | |
| Federal Way (Tract 030314) | $327K | $357K | $168K | |
| Federal Way (Tract 030313) | $203K | $206K | $119K | |
| Auburn | $84K | $99K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.