What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53033005803 in Seattle?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,156,944 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53033005803 in Seattle?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,156,944 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.3%.

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Parcel 53033005803 (Seattle) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 53033005803, Seattle Home Price Forecast

Seattle, WA · ZIP 98199 · Census Tract 53033005803 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$1.16M

Downside (P10)

$968K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$1.21M

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.60M

+38% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$867K	$863K	$953K	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.2M	$1.2M	$1.2M	$1.2M
Growth $ vs 2026	-$289,944	-$293,944	-$203,844	-$45,644	-$39,344		+$12,217	+$44,920	+$49,518
Growth % vs 2026	-25.1%	-25.4%	-17.6%	-3.9%	-3.4%		+1.1%	+3.9%	+4.3%
Downside (P10)							$1.0M	$1.0M	$968K
Upside (P90)							$1.3M	$1.5M	$1.6M

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$1.0M to $1.3M

28.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$968K to $1.6M

52.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.3% · Spread: 52%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 53033005803, Seattle on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).