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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Seattle, WA · ZIP 98122 · Census Tract 53033008402 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$500K
Downside (P10)
$373K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$526K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$677K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $368K | $415K | $535K | $499K | $482K | $500K | $506K | $512K | $526K |
| YoY Change | +12.6% | +29.1% | -6.7% | -3.5% | +3.8% | +1.2% | +1.3% | +2.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $429K | $414K | $373K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $639K | $645K | $677K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$429K to $639K
41.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$373K to $677K
57.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central District | $488K | $526K | +7.8% | |
| Kent | $497K | $553K | +11.2% | |
| Federal Way-Auburn (Tract 030600) | $495K | $548K | +10.6% | |
| Federal Way-Auburn (Tract 030902) | $496K | $546K | +10.3% | |
| Capitol Hill | $493K | $535K | +8.4% | |
| South Lake Union | $501K | $523K | +4.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central District | $488K | $526K | +7.8% | |
| Downtown Seattle | $908K | $1.11M | +22.2% | |
| University District | $1.20M | $1.46M | +22.0% | |
| Redmond | $1.05M | $1.28M | +21.5% | |
| Renton | $549K | $658K | +19.8% | |
| Kirkland | $1.13M | $1.35M | +19.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central District | $488K | $526K | $303K | |
| SeaTac | $314K | $366K | $191K | |
| Federal Way (Tract 030314) | $327K | $357K | $168K | |
| Federal Way (Tract 030313) | $203K | $206K | $119K | |
| Auburn | $84K | $99K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.