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Snohomish, WA · ZIP 98258 · Census Tract 53061052506 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$594K
Downside (P10)
$513K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$632K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$877K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $333K | $364K | $466K | $518K | $571K | $594K | $624K | $634K | $632K | $597K |
| YoY Change | +9.5% | +27.8% | +11.3% | +10.3% | +4.0% | +5.1% | +1.5% | -0.2% | -5.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $486K | $500K | $513K | $526K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $728K | $795K | $877K | $677K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$486K to $728K
38.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$526K to $677K
25.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Stevens · 98258 · (Tract 525.6) | $584K | $632K | +8.3% | |
| Everett (Tract 041905) | $597K | $666K | +11.5% | |
| Arlington | $591K | $632K | +6.9% | |
| Everett (Tract 041201) | $597K | $635K | +6.4% | |
| Marysville | $593K | $615K | +3.7% | |
| Stanwood | $591K | $594K | +0.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Stevens · 98258 · (Tract 525.6) | $584K | $632K | +8.3% | |
| Edmonds | $826K | $1.02M | +23.5% | |
| Everett (Tract 041805) | $516K | $628K | +21.7% | |
| North Lynnwood | $603K | $722K | +19.8% | |
| Lynnwood | $651K | $776K | +19.3% | |
| Everett (Tract 041901) | $682K | $813K | +19.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Stevens · 98258 · (Tract 525.6) | $584K | $632K | $364K | |
| Everett (Tract 041808) | $332K | $359K | $226K | |
| Marysville | $377K | $407K | $198K | |
| Everett (Tract 041809) | $364K | $389K | $191K | |
| Everett (Tract 041813) | $401K | $451K | $191K | |
| Everett (Tract 041810) | $307K | $329K | $161K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.