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Snohomish, WA · ZIP 98021 · Census Tract 53061051918 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$978K
Downside (P10)
$811K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.06M
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.54M
+57% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $353K | $381K | $402K | $446K | $571K | $670K | $684K | $877K | $927K | $992K | $978K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$625,527 | -$597,527 | -$576,527 | -$532,727 | -$407,727 | -$308,227 | -$294,227 | -$101,527 | -$51,027 | +$13,773 | +$25,709 | +$41,988 | +$84,257 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -63.9% | -61.1% | -58.9% | -54.4% | -41.7% | -31.5% | -30.1% | -10.4% | -5.2% | +1.4% | +2.6% | +4.3% | +8.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $858K | $878K | $811K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$858K to $1.2M
38.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$811K to $1.5M
68.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bothell | $1000K | $1.06M | +6.3% | |
| Maltby (Tract 052122) | $997K | $1.12M | +12.7% | |
| Silver Firs | $989K | $1.08M | +8.9% | |
| Everett | $963K | $1.04M | +7.6% | |
| Maltby (Tract 052113) | $993K | $1.06M | +7.0% | |
| Mukilteo | $1.00M | $993K | -1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bothell | $1000K | $1.06M | +6.3% | |
| Edmonds | $826K | $1.02M | +23.5% | |
| Everett (Tract 041805) | $516K | $628K | +21.7% | |
| North Lynnwood | $603K | $722K | +19.8% | |
| Lynnwood | $651K | $776K | +19.3% | |
| Everett (Tract 041901) | $682K | $813K | +19.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bothell | $1000K | $1.06M | $729K | |
| Everett (Tract 041808) | $332K | $359K | $226K | |
| Marysville | $377K | $407K | $198K | |
| Everett (Tract 041809) | $364K | $389K | $191K | |
| Everett (Tract 041813) | $401K | $451K | $191K | |
| Everett (Tract 041810) | $307K | $329K | $161K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Snohomish, WA · ZIP 98021 · Census Tract 53061051918 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$978K
Downside (P10)
$811K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.06M
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.54M
+57% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $353K | $381K | $402K | $446K | $571K | $670K | $684K | $877K | $927K | $992K | $978K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$625,527 | -$597,527 | -$576,527 | -$532,727 | -$407,727 | -$308,227 | -$294,227 | -$101,527 | -$51,027 | +$13,773 | +$25,709 | +$41,988 | +$84,257 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -63.9% | -61.1% | -58.9% | -54.4% | -41.7% | -31.5% | -30.1% | -10.4% | -5.2% | +1.4% | +2.6% | +4.3% | +8.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $858K | $878K | $811K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$858K to $1.2M
38.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$811K to $1.5M
68.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bothell | $1000K | $1.06M | +6.3% | |
| Maltby (Tract 052122) | $997K | $1.12M | +12.7% | |
| Silver Firs | $989K | $1.08M | +8.9% | |
| Everett | $963K | $1.04M | +7.6% | |
| Maltby (Tract 052113) | $993K | $1.06M | +7.0% | |
| Mukilteo | $1.00M | $993K | -1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bothell | $1000K | $1.06M | +6.3% | |
| Edmonds | $826K | $1.02M | +23.5% | |
| Everett (Tract 041805) | $516K | $628K | +21.7% | |
| North Lynnwood | $603K | $722K | +19.8% | |
| Lynnwood | $651K | $776K | +19.3% | |
| Everett (Tract 041901) | $682K | $813K | +19.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bothell | $1000K | $1.06M | $729K | |
| Everett (Tract 041808) | $332K | $359K | $226K | |
| Marysville | $377K | $407K | $198K | |
| Everett (Tract 041809) | $364K | $389K | $191K | |
| Everett (Tract 041813) | $401K | $451K | $191K | |
| Everett (Tract 041810) | $307K | $329K | $161K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
